If you are paying attention to the presidential race in the US then you are probably under the impression that the race is over, that President Obama will have a second term, and that the current polls are all the evidence needed to make this case. Never mind that the actual election will not be held until 6 November later this year. Put aside the fact that under the three years of Obama the economic situation for most Americans has not improved. Do not worry about the perceived backfire to foreign policy in the Middle East. The polls are telling you that the American voter wants another four years of Obama.

To believe this mantra it is necessary to convince yourself that people either like what has transpired over the past three years or they do not think the situation that bad. Currently the US has seen more people than ever before go on food stamps, or SNAP. Two months in a row the American people saw more people applying for Social Security disability than apply for jobs.

There is no question that the Obama administration has acted in such a way as to suggest that he believes it more important to ensure that people can turn to the federal government for their livelihoods than to the private sector. Obama claims that he has created some 4.5 million “new” jobs since taking office. Well he very well may have been in office during a time when these jobs came about, but if you look at the complete universe of jobs that were available when he came into office and where the US economy is now there is actually a net loss of 1.5 million jobs. Jame Pethokoukis of the American Enterprise Institute has done yeoman's work chronicling the economic numbers during the Obama administration.

From a foreign policy point of view, the Obama administration has done very well in crafting the image of having the best foreign policy in quite some time. Well, that was until the Middle East exploded and the embassy in Cairo was ransacked by al Qa'ida flag waving thugs and four Americans were killed at the consulate in Libya. All of this, we were told, was a reaction to a movie that insulted Islam.

The administration stuck by this theme from day one of the crisis up until just a few days ago when information forced them to change course, just a bit. The Libyan president insisted from day one that the consulate attack was not a spontaneous reaction to a YouTube film but a planned attack. In Cairo intelligence agencies had labeled those attacks a terrorist act 24 hours after the event.

Polls show the President winning in key battle ground states over Mitt Romney. These polls suggest that Obama would do a better job with the economy than Romney. These polls also show that the turnout in these states is going to be a 10 percent advantage for the Democrats. In light of what has transpired with just over a month left until election day is there really any indication that Democrats are going to show up to the polls at a greater rate than they did in 2008?

These polls that are out showing Obama winning big are nothing more than a campaign tactic to dispirit the underlying momentum of Mitt Romney and his camp. Believe it or not, if you actually go and watch Romney's campaign rallies you will see and feel enthusiasm that was not present for John McCain even with Sarah Palin as his running mate. (And let's face it, the only reason McCain garnered 47 percent of the vote in 08 was due to Palin.) Anyone who tries to tell you that in Ohio and Florida Democrats are going to show up at the polls ten percent higher than Republicans is either lying to you or not very well informed. The enthusiasm gap in these same polls suggest that Republican voters are the ones who cannot wait to vote in November. And these polls suggest that it is Romney who is winning the independent vote.

The wind is at Romney's back. He and Obama will go through the debates, and no matter how well he does in those debates the partisan media will tell you that he got trounced by Obama. Polls, as we get closer to Election Day, will continue to show Obama with a lead, though tightening. The bottom line is that the partisan media is attempting to paint a picture that is not true in the hopes that you call it quits and stay home. In reality this is far from over. There is only one poll that matters and it is the one in November. Go to the polls, vote for Romney and every GOP candidate on the ticket, and sit back and watch how the world that the partisan media has painted begins to crash in on them. That is going to be the sweetest part to election night.


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